Posted: April 27, 2010 by Wildcat in Uncategorized

Australian CSIRO Analysis of the Megatrends and Megashocks of Our Future World

futuramb:

Australian CSIRO Analysis of the Megatrends and Megashocks of Our Future World

Interesting that CSIRO also adds megashocks (which I would call wildcards – maybe mega wildcards) to the analysis. I agree totally that we have to do this in all reports we do since the megachocks seems to have a more serious role in our future than we like to think. And I am not just talking about megashocks that play out but possible megashocks that we envision and include in our mental models when taking decisions and redesigning our structures in order to meet a different future.

The megashocks they mention that are relevant to Australian science are:

  1. asset price collapse 
  2. slowing Chinese economy 
  3. oil and gas price spikes 
  4. extreme climate change related weather 
  5. pandemic 
  6. biodiversity loss 
  7. terrorism 
  8. nanotechnology risks
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